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Better System Trader

Better System Trader

Better System Trader is the podcast and blog dedicated to systematic traders, providing practical tips from trading experts around the world.

048 – Indicators, DSP & Cycles with John Ehlers

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Trading can be tough, markets are noisy and finding signals in the market noise can be challenging. Also, applying indicators to trading strategies can introduce lag, however a lot of traders don’t even realize the lag their indicators are introducing or the impact it can have on trading. In fact, the guest in our chat today, John Ehlers said “One of the biggest enemies of traders is lag”.

So, what’s the solution?

John Ehlers is well known in the commodity futures arena as the Creator of MESA, having pioneered the MESA method of cycle analysis in the late 1970’s and becoming the founder of MESA Software.

He is author of four books including Rocket Science for Traders, Cycle Analytics for Traders, Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures and MESA and Trading Market Cycles.

He has also been a contributing editor of Stocks & Commodities, winning a number of awards for his work.

In our chat with John we discuss the issue of indicator lag, the impact it can have on trading and some solutions. We also talk about applications of Digital Signal Processing in trading, the MESA approach, regime switching, Cycles and the mistakes people make trading cycles.

The major problem we have as traders is lag – John Ehlers

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Topics discussed

  • MESA and it’s application to trading
  • Alternatives to the MESA approach and which is best for the markets
  • How cycle length can determine indicator length
  • Common mistakes people make with cycles
  • Cycles and DSP techniques as regime filters
  • The problems caused by indicator lag and solutions to reducing lag
  • The best low-lag filter and oscillator available
  • Getting started with Cycles and DSP

Resources mentioned in this episode

  • To learn more about John and his work, checkout his website mesasoftware.com
  • He can also be contacted on ehlers@mesasoftware.com
  • Books mentioned in the show:
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MESA Cycles Trading System Development Workshop – open for 2019!

As John mentioned towards the end of our chat, he will be holding an exclusive 3 day workshop on Digital Signal Processing and Cycles techniques in trading.

From basic concepts right through to advanced techniques, including code for a number of trading strategies, John is going to share all of his research.

He’s even going to disclose the secrets behind the MESA algorithm, along with the code, which he has NEVER done before! (you will be required to sign an NDA)

Numbers are limited due to the size of the venue, so if you’re interested, check the workshop information page by clicking the blue box below.

Quotes

You have to assume cycles are there and measure them whatever they may be

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Any time you can introduce more data into your analysis you reduce the signal to noise ratio

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You can win a lot by not losing

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Transcript

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Episode Released:

1 May 2016

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