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Better System Trader

Better System Trader

Better System Trader is the podcast and blog dedicated to systematic traders, providing practical tips from trading experts around the world.

170 – How to detect a failing trading strategy – Kevin Davey

Ever had a strategy that looked like it was broken and wondered if you should stop trading it or not?

Strategy failure (or periods of poor performance) are just a part of trading, but how you deal with it can have a HA-YUGE impact on your overall results… so how do you detect when a strategy is failing? 

How do you work out if you should stop trading it or just give it some more time?

On BST Live this week, trading champion Kevin Davey joined us to discuss how to detect when a strategy is failing, including:

  • Why looking at a single equity curve is not giving you the full picture,
  • How to determine the potential ranges of future strategy performance,
  • Using Statistical Process Control to monitor trading strategies and which metrics are best,
  • How Probability Cones can give traders a more informed view of strategy performance (and when a strategy could be broken),
  • What do to when a strategy over-performs (the answer may not be what you think!),
  • Should you turn a strategy back on if it recovers after extremely poor performance,
  • How a really good backtest can actually be a predictor of bad performance,
  • Plus, much more!


► You can discover more from Kevin at: https://www.kjtradingsystems.com

Don’t forget to subscribe to the BST YouTube channel for all the latest updates and trading content:

Released: Oct 25th, 2020

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